Author: mopress

  • A Neo-Con (Neo-Liberal) Agenda for Mexican Oil

    We’re scrolling through the MEXUS Compact on Competitiveness, when zingo, up comes the subhead “Energy Security”. Oh boy, here we go again. Don’t forget to check out the “leadership” list at the end:

    With the fourth largest crude oil reserves in the Western Hemisphere, Mexico nonetheless imported $2.4 billion of gasoline and $1.5 billion of natural gas in 2003. This staggering reality, the result of Constitutional requirements that restrict foreign investment in the hydrocarbons sector, was exacerbated in 2004 by higher import volumes and
    international prices.
    As a result, Mexico’s energy sector, central to the country’s economy and a legitimate source of national pride, faces the challenge within the framework of its Constitution of drawing substantial foreign investment flows to modernize, expand, and improve production.

    Increased production would help Mexico meet its growing domestic demand for energy, while allowing increased exports to augment the inflow of revenues
    and to realize corresponding benefits. Without making conditions more attractive for private investors in the near term, PEMEX, Mexico’s national oil company will be unable to sustain its role as the primary underwriter of Mexico’s annual budgetary needs over
    time.

    Additionally, unless Mexico finds cost-effective means to raise production, overall security and competitiveness within North America will be impacted.

    From the MEXUS “Compact on Competitiveness”

    The business community respects and deeply appreciates the political sensitivities toward private investment in the Mexican state-owned energy sector, even as we believe that Mexico would greatly benefit by liberalizing its energy sector.

    By partnering with US and Canadian energy companies, Mexico can position itself to meet domestic demand as well as increase its reserves and revenues while contributing to growth in energy dependent sectors.

    US and Canadian energy companies are interested in becoming actively engaged in Mexico’s energy market and are willing to invest much needed financial, management, and technological resources to increase energy availability and efficiency in North America.

    Specifically, recent claims to vast deepwater oil reserves in the Gulf of Mexico could be a boost to the country’s total energy output and national income. Tapping into these new sources, however, will require Mexican Congressional
    approval and increased cooperation with foreign companies that have the technical and financial strength required to undergo such complicated explorations. Without such cooperation, Mexico will be unable to reap the full benefits of deep-water drilling in the Gulf of Mexico.

    As well, US and Canadian companies tend to promote a culture of philanthropy including support for schools, hospitals, and the arts that would bring benefits to Mexico beyond sector-specific investments. The first step would be to create an appropriate investment framework to allow for such foreign investment on market terms.

    Appendix I
    US-Council, MEXUS Leadership Team

    ChevronTexaco Corporation
    Eastman Kodak Company
    First Data Corporation
    Ford Motor Company
    Kissinger McLarty Associates
    Manatt Jones Global Strategies
    Merck & Company
    MetLife
    Miller & Chevalier Chartered
    Nextel International/NII Holdings
    The Procter & Gamble Company

    The views expressed in this report are the collective opinions of individuals representing companies
    associated with the US-Mexico Business Committee and/or the Council of the Americas. They are not
    necessarily the views of the companies themselves.

  • NAFTA and the New Strategic Imperative of Mexico's Development

    It is in each of our interests to find ways to work more fully together so that, in the global economy, we will be able not just to survive, but to flourish. We cannot succeed absent greater North American integration, or without more rapid Mexican development, which, as a consequence, is in our strategic interests to promote.
    –from the Executive Summary of “A Compact for North American Competitiveness” (April 2005)

    There is perhaps no relationship between the United States and any other nation so encumbered by history, geography, and culture—and so graced with opportunity—as the US relationship with Mexico.

    Yet despite the complex nature of this relationship, or perhaps as a result of it, virtually every attempt historically to put the bilateral relationship on a sound footing for the longer term has been frustrated by missed signals, mutual provocations, and external events unrelated to a common agenda.

    It was with this in mind that in the second half of the 20th century the US Council of the Mexico-US Business Committee (MEXUS), in conjunction with its counterpart Mexico Council, committed to formulating and advancing a common agenda that would be mutually rewarding for the people and governments of the United States and Mexico. Only by rationalizing the existing relationship, it was felt, would both nations be able to direct their energies toward mutually rewarding activities, rather than constantly working to overcome the latest real or perceived slight.

    After all, with a shared border of almost 2000 miles, the United States and Mexico were going to
    be neighbors, whether they liked it or not. The only question was whether they would also be
    partners and friends.

    Out of such thinking during the 1980’s came the idea for a set of common goals and principles for both governments to observe in regulating cross-border trade and investment. In just a few years this initiative resulted in the US-Mexico Framework Agreement, and then, with the addition of Canada, blossomed into the North American Free Trade Agreement.

    Negotiation of NAFTA was a signature achievement of the first Bush Administration, and passage on a bipartisan basis was a signature accomplishment of the Clinton Administration. Not only did MEXUS play a
    critical role in the conceptual work that led to NAFTA, its members also wore out significant shoe leather on Capitol Hill, ultimately leading to successful passage. It was an achievement of which MEXUS is justifiably proud.

    But the agenda is far from complete. In fact, as much remains to be done in the next ten years of NAFTA, if not more, than the first 10 years. In particular, as China comes on line economically, MEXUS will continue to seek new and creative ways to advance the North American competitiveness dialogue.

    Founded in 1948, the Mexico-US Business Committee (MEXUS) is the oldest binational private sector business organization with a focus on economic, commercial, and political relations in North America. As a forum for senior business leaders to interact regularly with their counterparts in government, MEXUS was critical in the conceptualization, promotion, passage, and emplementation of the North American Free Trade Agreement….

    The US Council of MEXUS is a standing committee of the Council of the Americas, and plays an active leadership role in public policy discussions that shape North American economic relations….

    Excerpts from “A Compact for North American Competitiveness: A Strategy for Building Competitiveness within North America” (April 2005)
    http://www.americas-society.org/coa/publications/papers.html

    Executive Summary

    EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
    The emergence of China, India, and others in the global marketplace has caused anxiety among observers, but only in relatively few instances are coordinated steps being taken to gain full economic and political advantage of this new world. That is particularly true within North America, defined as the United States, Canada, and Mexico. Since NAFTA went into effect in 1994, only rarely have North American leaders envisioned and sought the competitive benefits accruing with greater regional economic integration. To the extent such efforts have occurred, it has generally been within the context of “making
    NAFTA work better.”

    To be sure, NAFTA can work better, and it should, particularly in terms of the dispute resolution process. But the original trade agreement was only the first step. If North American economic integration ends with NAFTA, we will soon find ourselves at a
    competitive disadvantage with Asia, because the relative gains from NAFTA have already largely been eroded by the Chinese and, to a lesser extent, Indian economic explosions.

    Significant work must be done in the face of the looming competitiveness challenge from Asia. In response and consistent with the Security and Prosperity Partnership of North America announced by Prime Minister Paul Martin, President George Bush, and President Vicente Fox on March 23, 2005, the US Council of the Mexico-US Business Committee proposes a Compact for North American Competitiveness as a means to address these issues.

    At the heart of the Compact lies a grand bargain: the United States and Canada will work closely with Mexico to mobilize additional public and private sector resources to advance Mexico’s development. In exchange, Mexico will commit to a robust program of
    second-generation reforms in regulatory harmonization, the rule of law, and infrastructure
    improvements, including education, which will create conditions necessary to attract the long-term domestic and direct foreign investment that ultimately drives development.

    Within this general framework, specific (non-exclusive) areas for concentration would
    include border security and efficiency, energy security, and increasing labor mobility. The
    Compact would have at its core the following:

    • Promotion of policies in all three nations designed to unlock the full development and job creation potential of the private sector.

    • Establishment of a Development Fund for Mexico, with proportional contributions from all three nations, so long as Mexico commits to implementation and
    benchmarking of a mutually-agreed reform agenda.

    • Support for the integration of all factors of production, including labor, through a robust, enforceable temporary worker program.

    • Aggressive promotion of research and development through the identification of specific opportunities for joint cooperation and cross-border investment.

    The key question is, why? Why should the United States and Canada care about Mexican development beyond a general humanitarian instinct or a fear of the potential of increased export of illegal activities (migration, narcotics, security threats) brought on by
    potential economic uncertainty on our southern border?

    The answer is simple to articulate, but extraordinarily difficult to achieve. If the United States and Canada plan to compete with China and other emerging economies by the time Asia reaches greater economic
    maturity in 2020 or 2030, both nations will have to put in place now the economic and commercial frameworks to take full advantage of economic efficiencies that would naturally accrue with creation of a larger internal North American market, harmonization of cross-border business practices and regulations, and a reduction in both risk and the cost
    of capital. Labor must also be seen increasingly as the irreplaceable input in global economic production and knowledge-based economies, and trained and utilized fully at its most effective potential use. Doing so will bring economic benefits to all three North American nations.

    But this paradigm requires increased development in Mexico. Put another way, Mexico’s development directly impacts US national strategic objectives. Both nation

    al security and economic security—which is itself a national strategic imperative—require
    our southern neighbor to be democratic and politically stable, economically healthy, and increasingly to see its own interests aligned more fully with ours. Canada faces similar realities with Mexico, if less intensively.

    It is in each of our interests to find ways to work
    more fully together so that, in the global economy, we will be able not just to survive, but to flourish. We cannot succeed absent greater North American integration, or without more rapid Mexican development, which, as a consequence, is in our strategic interests to promote.

    MEXUS is committed to improving North American competitiveness as a strategic imperative for the United States. The time to begin is now.

  • One Foot in Front of the Other: Annual Conferences of the Americas

    In May the Council of the Americas held its 36th Washington Conference on the Americas. In June the Organization of American States held its 36th General Assembly.

    “Our annual Washington Conference is the premier event in the nation’s capital focusing on the
    Americas and has consistently brought together senior corporate executives with the highest level of
    speakers,” says the report from the Council of the Americas, a David Rockfeller organization.

    “In [this year’s] final declaration [of the OAS general assembly], the delegations of 34 OAS member states called on the Secretary General . . . to promote the use of information and communication technologies (ICTs) to facilitate the participate of citizens in public life, thereby strengthening democratic governance.”

    But remember, just because one event follows the other, we should never infer causality. Still, we like this paragraph from the Washington conference that has Wolfowitz and IBM collaborating on reasons to take poverty reduction seriously:

    Working together with government, World Bank President Paul Wolfowitz stressed the role of the
    private sector as an important engine for development. IBM Americas General Manager Marc
    Lautenbach provided first-hand examples of a
    corporation that prioritizes investment in people. In an
    increasingly globalized, technology-oriented world,
    companies such as IBM recognize their obligation to
    bridge the digital divide and help create opportunities for those that otherwise would have been excluded. But, not only does poverty reduction help people it also makes plain business sense. According to the World Bank a 10% drop in poverty levels increases economic growth by 1%, so “growth and poverty reduction should be seen as part of the same problem, and, therefore, as part of the same solution.”

    Blogged by Steven Clift at DoWire.Org

  • A Lot up in Air for National Guard at the Border

    “There’s still a lot of questions up in the air about how this whole business is going to go,” John Gipe, Army National Guard Sergeant Major speaking about the deployment of troops at the USA-Mexico border. (C-SPAN: Congressional hearing on Role of National Guard, 2:55 CDT, July 15.)